Workflow
黄金牛市外溢 白银领跑贵金属板块 年内累计涨幅超70%
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-09 22:29

Core Insights - Silver prices are experiencing a rare surge, with a significant increase of over 70% year-to-date, surpassing gold's 51.5% rise, marking the best annual performance for silver since 1979 [1][3] Group 1: Market Performance - Silver prices have recently broken the $50 per ounce mark, reaching a new high since 2011 [1] - The current bull market in gold is spreading to silver, platinum, and palladium, with analysts suggesting that unless there is a shift to a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve or the People's Bank of China, the upward trend in precious metals is likely to continue [3] Group 2: Industrial Demand - The strong performance of silver is supported by robust structural industrial demand, particularly in sectors such as photovoltaics, semiconductors, and artificial intelligence [3] - Analysts describe silver as a more volatile counterpart to gold, often amplifying gold's gains during bullish cycles [3] Group 3: Future Projections - Several institutions have raised their long-term price forecasts for silver, with HSBC projecting average prices of $38.56 and $44.5 per ounce for 2025 and 2026, respectively [4] - The Montreal Bank anticipates an average silver price of $49.50 per ounce in 2026, a 57% increase from previous estimates, citing strong industrial consumption as a long-term support for silver prices [4] Group 4: Market Sentiment - The "spillover effect" from safe-haven investments is driving funds towards silver, as investors seek relatively undervalued assets amid a crowded gold market [4] - Analysts believe that if silver maintains its position above $50, it could indicate a reassessment of its economic value and store of value function [6]