Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-10 01:36Core Viewpoint - HSBC Holdings plans to acquire 680 million shares of Hang Seng Bank at HKD 155 per share, totaling HKD 106 billion (approximately USD 13.6 billion), increasing its stake from 63% to 100% [1] Group 1: Acquisition Purpose - The acquisition aims to enhance synergy, simplify operations, and capture growth opportunities while maintaining Hang Seng Bank's brand and independent status [2] - HSBC's CEO expressed confidence in the Hong Kong market and Hang Seng's operational capabilities, indicating that the acquisition will lead to cost savings and improved product offerings for customers [2] Group 2: Financial and Regulatory Impact - The acquisition is expected to reduce HSBC's core Tier 1 capital ratio by approximately 165 basis points, but the removal of minority interest deductions will increase it by about 40 basis points, resulting in a net impact of 125 basis points [4] - HSBC's ordinary share EPS is projected to increase post-acquisition, leading to a rise in dividend per share (DPS) and an increase in dividend yield from 5.3% to 5.4% [3] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Short-term impacts include a decline in share price due to reduced dividend and buyback returns, with a noted 6% drop following the announcement [5] - The acquisition is expected to decrease net assets by approximately 4%, affecting the company's valuation, which is already reflected in the recent share price drop [6] - The projected return from dividends and buybacks for 2026 is expected to decrease to 7.5%, compared to Standard Chartered's 8.8%, indicating a potential decline in attractiveness [6]