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突破4000美元,黄金已经彻底疯狂,接下来还会暴涨!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-10 01:57

Core Viewpoint - The international gold price has surged significantly, with London spot gold reaching a historic high of $4000 per ounce, marking an annual increase of over 50%, the first time since the 1970s that such a rise has occurred in a single year [1][2]. Group 1: Historical Context - Historically, only in the years 1973, 1974, and 1979 did London spot gold see annual increases exceeding 50%, with respective rises of 66.98%, 72.27%, and 126.55% [2]. - The current surge in gold prices reflects a level of distrust in the US dollar comparable to the 1980s, indicating a significant shift in investor sentiment [2]. - The 1970s saw a dramatic change in the global monetary system, with the collapse of the Bretton Woods system leading to a rapid increase in gold prices, driven by both policy changes and economic crises [5]. Group 2: Current Market Dynamics - The recent spike in gold prices can be attributed to various factors, including heightened global risk aversion due to potential US government shutdowns and expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [6]. - However, these factors are seen as short-term catalysts rather than the underlying drivers of a long-term bull market in gold, which has been ongoing since 2023 [6][7]. - The fundamental driver of the current gold price increase is a growing distrust in the US dollar, influenced by factors such as rising US debt and concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - To capitalize on the gold bull market, a long-term holding strategy is recommended, with an emphasis on matching funding timelines to avoid forced selling during unfavorable market conditions [9]. - Increasing the allocation to physical gold can help mitigate the risks associated with frequent trading, with small-weight gold bars being a viable option for long-term investment [9]. - For leveraging investments, financing gold ETFs and investing in gold mining stocks are suggested as safer alternatives, as they can amplify returns without the high risks associated with options and futures [10].