Guan Cha Zhe Wang·2025-10-10 03:24Core Insights - The electric two-wheeler market in China is experiencing significant growth, driven by new national standards and increasing urbanization, with sales reaching 47 million units in 2019, a 20% year-on-year increase [2] - Major battery manufacturers, BYD and CATL, are entering the electric two-wheeler battery market, indicating a shift in industry dynamics and competition [3][6] - The introduction of stringent national standards for electric bicycles is expected to lead to a major industry reshuffle, pushing companies to adopt higher-density lithium batteries [7] Market Dynamics - The electric two-wheeler market in China is projected to reach 52 million units in 2025, with an estimated market size of 156 billion yuan, potentially growing to 200 billion yuan as consumer demands increase [5] - The entry of BYD and CATL is seen as a game-changer, with BYD planning to launch 32 specialized battery products before the new standards take effect [6] - CATL has established a joint venture focused on medium-sized batteries, positioning itself strongly in the electric two-wheeler battery market [6] Technological Advancements - The new national standards impose weight limits on electric bicycles, necessitating the use of higher energy density lithium batteries, which will drive technological innovation [7] - The competition is shifting from price wars to a focus on technology, safety, and ecosystem development, with batteries needing to be customized for specific vehicle requirements [7][10] - The collaboration between battery manufacturers and vehicle producers is crucial for developing high-performance, safe, and cost-effective electric two-wheelers [10][11] Export Potential - China's electric two-wheeler exports are expected to grow significantly, with 4.67 million units projected for 2024, and a market size forecasted to increase from $10.58 billion in 2025 to $23.87 billion by 2032 [12] - The focus of exports is shifting from high-priced markets to emerging markets in Southeast Asia, Latin America, and Africa, emphasizing high cost-performance ratios [12][14] - The involvement of major battery manufacturers is anticipated to bolster the export capabilities of Chinese electric two-wheelers, providing a solid technical foundation for international expansion [13][14]