Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-10 03:58Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that HSBC intends to acquire the remaining 36.5% stake in Hang Seng Bank at HKD 155 per share, which represents a significant 30% premium over Hang Seng's last closing price, implying a price-to-book ratio of 1.8 times for the fiscal year 2025 [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition proposal will not affect Hang Seng Bank's status as an independent licensed bank but will enhance coordination between HSBC and Hang Seng, leading to mid-term revenue and cost synergies [1] - UBS has assigned a "Sell" rating to Hang Seng Bank with a target price of HKD 102 [1] - Following the announcement, Hang Seng's stock price surged by 26% on October 9, indicating potential upside if the transaction proceeds smoothly [1] Group 2: Expected Outcomes - UBS anticipates that the potential revenue and cost synergies will positively impact HSBC in the mid-term, improving Hang Seng's efficiency and competitive positioning [1] - The privatization proposal is expected to be completed in the first half of 2026, pending approval from at least 75% of minority shareholders [1] - According to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, there are no other significant shareholders besides HSBC, and the minority shareholding appears to be highly dispersed, primarily held by passive funds [1] Group 3: Regulatory Considerations - There has been no discussion regarding the regulatory stance on the privatization transaction, but UBS believes HSBC has sufficient reasons to expect no significant regulatory obstacles [1]