金价暴涨的背后，这场危机可能真的到来了

Group 1 - Domestic gold prices remain at 871.5 yuan per gram, while gold jewelry prices have increased, with Chow Sang Sang at 1165 yuan per gram and Chow Tai Fook at 1162 yuan per gram [2] - Goldman Sachs has raised its gold price forecast for the end of next year from 4300 USD to 4900 USD, citing strong ETF inflows and central banks increasing gold reserves as key reasons for the bullish outlook [3] - The recent surge in gold prices, surpassing 4000 USD, is attributed to the U.S. government shutdown and delays in non-farm payroll data, which have created uncertainty around future Federal Reserve interest rate policies [3][4] Group 2 - The recommendation for long-term investors is to consider purchasing gold as a hedge, particularly through gold ETFs or bank storage gold, while short-term trading is discouraged due to potential volatility [4] - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has seen fluctuations, dropping to 4.0998% as of October 8, reflecting investor concerns about future economic growth amid the government shutdown [6][7] - Japan's manufacturing sector is facing challenges, with the PMI at 48.4, indicating contraction, and a significant drop in manufacturing profits, leading to lowered economic growth forecasts [10][9] Group 3 - In Europe, particularly Germany and France, economic conditions are deteriorating, with Germany experiencing negative growth and high inflation, while France faces political instability affecting market confidence [18][22][29] - The overall global economic uncertainty, particularly in the U.S., Japan, and Europe, is driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, suggesting that the crisis affecting these economies is just beginning [33][36]