Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-10 07:01Core Viewpoint - Changfei Fiber Optics has seen a significant decline in stock price, dropping over 30% from its September peak of 65 HKD, with a current price of 45.06 HKD, reflecting market concerns about its future profitability [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock of Changfei Fiber Optics (601869) and its subsidiary Changxin Bochuang (300548) has experienced a drop of over 4%, with a trading volume of 6.76 billion HKD [1] - The current stock price is reported at 45.06 HKD, down 3.92% at the time of reporting [1] Group 2: Market Expectations - Nomura's research indicates that the rise in Changfei's stock earlier this year was driven by market expectations of increased demand for high-end products like G.654E fiber and hollow fiber due to AI data centers [1] - The firm believes that the recent tender results from China Mobile show a decline in Changfei's market share and average selling price, which may pressure profitability starting from Q3 of this year [1] Group 3: Analyst Rating Changes - Nomura has downgraded its rating on Changfei from "Buy" to "Neutral," suggesting that the current stock price reflects the positive factors associated with AI business expansion [1] - The target price has been significantly adjusted from 18.6 HKD to 52 HKD, indicating a more cautious outlook despite the upward revision [1]