Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-10 07:20Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group (601888) (01880) experienced a decline of over 3% in stock price, closing at HKD 59.3, with a trading volume of HKD 139 million [1] Group 1: Sales Performance - Haikou Customs reported that during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, the total duty-free sales monitored reached CNY 9.44 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 13.6% [1] - HSBC's report indicated that the adjusted average daily sales during the Golden Week in October only grew by 5% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Market Challenges - The domestic duty-free market, primarily led by China Duty Free Group, is being negatively impacted by weakened consumer spending and increased outbound tourism [1] - Despite a low base, the sales in the second quarter of this year still saw a year-on-year decline of 8.5%, which was worse than HSBC's earlier prediction of a low single-digit decline [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - HSBC anticipates that China Duty Free Group's revenue for the third quarter will decline in the mid-single digits year-on-year [1] - The revenue decline is expected to narrow to low single digits in the fourth quarter due to a low base, but the growth outlook for the company beyond this year remains uncertain [1]