比黄金涨得还猛，它，价格创14年新高

Core Viewpoint - The price of spot silver has historically surpassed $50 per ounce for the first time, reaching $51 per ounce, marking a 14-year high with a daily increase of over 4% [1][3]. Price Movement - As of October 10, the spot silver price has slightly retreated to $49.73 per ounce [1]. - Year-to-date, spot silver has seen a cumulative increase of over 70%, while spot gold has risen by more than 50% [1]. Driving Factors - According to Li Gang, the recent surge in silver prices is driven by a combination of "financial attributes + industrial demand" [3]. - The rise in gold prices has led to a reevaluation of precious metals, with investors viewing silver as a leveraged inflation hedge [3]. - Strong demand from sectors such as renewable energy, photovoltaics, and electric vehicles has reinforced silver's dual role as both a "safe-haven asset" and an "industrial metal" [3]. - The expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, a weakening dollar, and increasing geopolitical risks have contributed to the liquidity and sentiment that propel silver prices upward [3]. Supply and Demand Outlook - A report from the World Silver Institute indicates that due to a 1% decline in demand and a 2% increase in total supply, the global silver deficit is expected to narrow by 21% to 117.6 million ounces by 2025 [4]. Future Price Predictions - Citi's global commodity research head, Maximilian Layton, has raised the three-month price forecast for silver from $45.00 per ounce to $55.00 per ounce, suggesting a continuation of the upward trend for both gold and silver [5]. - Li Gang anticipates that silver may experience some technical corrections after breaching the $50 per ounce mark, but the medium-term outlook remains strong, with expectations of silver trading between $47 and $55 per ounce over the next three months [5]. - Wang Hongying emphasizes the importance of risk control in investment strategies, suggesting that if silver prices experience a technical pullback, investors should consider building positions near key support levels, such as $46 per ounce, while maintaining strict risk management [5].