Core Viewpoint - The domestic pig market is experiencing a downward trend due to weak demand and high supply, leading to a continued decline in prices [1][2][4]. Group 1: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The national pig slaughter volume remains high, with some enterprises facing delayed supply due to poor pre-holiday slaughter plans, contributing to ongoing supply pressure [2][4]. - Demand is weakened by high temperatures in the south and continuous rainfall in the north, along with reduced consumer purchasing following the holiday season, creating a "double weakness" in supply and demand [2][4]. Group 2: Price Trends - The main transaction price for pigs ranges from 11.0 to 12.6 yuan per kilogram, indicating a persistent downward trend despite being a peak season [1][4]. - The market is expected to continue facing weak price performance, with forecasts suggesting that pig prices may remain under pressure in mid-October [1][4]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The fourth quarter is projected to have a significantly higher theoretical slaughter base compared to the previous year, which, combined with high selling intentions from large enterprises, is likely to maintain the weak market conditions [4]. - Attention should be paid to the adjustment of slaughter rhythms and secondary fattening trends in the breeding sector, as these factors could influence future market dynamics [4].
期货收评:红枣涨2%,焦炭、焦煤涨1%;集运欧线、生猪跌超3%,鸡蛋、多晶硅跌2%,SC原油、沪金、沪银跌超1%
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-10 08:21