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现货黄金价格站上新关口 部分机构认为“易涨难跌”
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-10 14:34

Core Viewpoint - The gold price has reached a historic high, surpassing $4000 per ounce, driven by geopolitical factors and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with expectations for continued upward momentum in the market [1][2]. Group 1: Current Market Performance - As of October 8, the spot gold price hit $4000.49 per ounce, marking a 0.14% increase, with a year-to-date rise exceeding 50% [1]. - COMEX gold futures also reached a new high of $4004.80 per ounce, reflecting a 0.71% increase [1]. - Gold prices have experienced five consecutive weeks of increases, catalyzed by the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates on September 17 [1]. Group 2: Future Outlook - Institutions are optimistic about gold's upward momentum, predicting a "difficult to decline" trend due to ongoing geopolitical risks and the Fed's easing policies [1][2]. - Morgan Stanley anticipates that the liquidity from the Fed's rate cuts will lead to continued inflows into global gold ETFs, with expectations for a gradual upward trend in gold prices [2]. - Goldman Sachs projects that central banks in emerging markets will continue diversifying their reserves by increasing gold holdings, forecasting an average purchase of 80 tons in 2025 and 70 tons in 2026, with a price prediction of $4900 per ounce by December 2026 [2].