全球经济的真正考验可能即将到来

Group 1 - The global economy is performing better than expected but has not reached the necessary level, with signs of potential challenges ahead [1] - Current global uncertainties are rising due to geopolitical changes, technological revolutions, demographic shifts, and environmental damage [1] - Tariff policies have not fully manifested their effects, with potential inflationary pressures arising from compressed corporate profits in the U.S. [1] - A loose financial environment is masking underlying weaknesses, and a significant valuation correction could hinder global economic growth, particularly affecting developing countries [1] - Despite disruptions, most global trade continues to follow established rules, and there is a call to maintain trade as a key driver of economic growth [1] Group 2 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected a global GDP growth rate of 3% for this year, with a slowdown expected in 2024 [2] - The IMF will update its economic growth forecasts during its annual meeting in Washington from October 13 to 18 [2]