美股异动|科磊逆势承压连跌四日估值过高成隐忧

Core Viewpoint - Recent market volatility has led to a significant decline in KLA Corporation's stock price, prompting investor concern and analysis [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - KLA's stock price fell by 6.71% on October 10, marking a four-day decline with a total drop of 13.77% [1] - The stock has seen a year-to-date increase of 60.06%, creating technical conditions for a high-level correction [1] Group 2: Analyst Ratings and Forecasts - Morgan Stanley downgraded KLA's rating from "Overweight" to "Hold" but raised the target price to $1,093 [1] - The downgrade was attributed to a 30% valuation premium, despite an optimistic outlook on KLA's fundamentals driven by strong demand from TSMC, DRAM manufacturers, and advanced packaging sectors [1] - Revenue from wafer fabrication equipment is expected to grow by 10%, reaching $128 billion, which has led to an increase in the earnings per share forecast for fiscal year 2026 [1] Group 3: Market and Regulatory Environment - Recent U.S. government sanctions on the semiconductor industry have raised concerns about potential threats to KLA's collaborations in the Chinese market [1] - The stability of the semiconductor equipment supply chain is under scrutiny due to similar international trade challenges faced by industry peers, impacting investor confidence [1] Group 4: Long-term Industry Outlook - The long-term development of the semiconductor industry relies on technological innovation and sustained market demand [2] - KLA is encouraged to enhance its R&D capabilities and market expansion to mitigate adverse effects from ongoing international pressures [2] - Investors are advised to consider diversification to reduce risk, focusing on companies with technological advantages and business diversification, particularly in the semiconductor equipment sector and other technology stocks with long-term growth potential [2]