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半导体设备与存储前瞻_晶圆厂设备增长持续,看涨;附第四季度盈利的战术思路-Americas Technology_ Semiconductors_ Semi Cap & Storage Previews_ Bullish given sustained WFE growth, plus tactical ideas for 4Q earnings
2026-01-10 06:38
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview: Semiconductors Core Insights - **Sustained WFE Growth**: The semiconductor industry is expected to see an 11% year-over-year (YoY) growth in wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) by 2026, driven by transitions in leading-edge logic and DRAM due to AI datacenter expansions [1][6][10]. - **Memory Market Dynamics**: The NAND supply/demand balance has tightened significantly, with price increases anticipated through 2026, supported by strong SSD demand from hyperscalers and enterprises [1][6]. - **Investor Expectations**: Elevated investor expectations following strong third-quarter results mean that upcoming earnings and guidance must meet high standards [1][7]. Company-Specific Insights Applied Materials (AMAT) - **Rating**: Buy - **Outlook**: Expected upside in guidance due to improved memory spending outlook, with a focus on DRAM and foundry/logic segments [2][6]. - **Financial Estimates**: Anticipated 1% revenue upside for the quarter and 4% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) revenue improvement, with non-GAAP EPS estimates 8% above consensus for CY26 [8][10]. Entegris (ENTG) - **Rating**: Sell - **Concerns**: Cautious outlook due to margin headwinds and limited growth from fab construction-related CapEx, which constitutes about 25% of revenue [3][58]. - **Financial Estimates**: Expected 2% revenue downside for the quarter, with guidance for flattish revenue QoQ [60]. Lam Research (LRCX) - **Rating**: Buy - **Focus Areas**: Investors are expected to concentrate on DRAM spending and NAND upgrades, with modest revenue upside anticipated for the quarter [16][18]. - **Financial Estimates**: Expected 2% revenue upside for the quarter, with non-GAAP EPS estimates 1% above consensus for CY26 [17]. KLA (KLAC) - **Rating**: Neutral - **Investor Focus**: Management's view on process control intensity and growth expectations for 2026 WFE will be critical [24][26]. - **Financial Estimates**: Anticipated over 1% revenue upside for the quarter, with guidance for flat revenue QoQ [25]. MKS Instruments (MKSI) - **Rating**: Sell - **Outlook**: Focus on 2026 WFE expectations and chemistry momentum, with a balanced investor positioning [32][34]. - **Financial Estimates**: Expected 1% revenue upside for the quarter, with guidance for slight revenue growth QoQ [33]. Teradyne (TER) - **Rating**: Buy - **Key Focus**: Sustainability of semi-test growth and Merchant GPU qualification progress [40][43]. - **Financial Estimates**: Expected 2% revenue upside for the quarter, with non-GAAP EPS estimates 13% above consensus for CY26 [42]. Qnity (Q) - **Rating**: Buy - **Investor Focus**: Wafer start recovery and operational execution will be key areas of interest [49][52]. - **Financial Estimates**: Expected 2% revenue upside for the quarter, with guidance for flattish revenue QoQ [51]. SanDisk (SNDK) - **Rating**: Buy - **Focus Areas**: Sustainability of NAND pricing growth and enterprise SSD qualification momentum [66][68]. - **Financial Estimates**: Expected 2% revenue upside for the quarter, with non-GAAP EPS estimates 9% below consensus for CY26 [67]. Seagate (STX) - **Rating**: Buy - **Investor Focus**: Sustainability of HDD pricing growth and HAMR production ramp [73][75]. - **Financial Estimates**: Expected 1% revenue upside for the quarter, with guidance for flattish revenue QoQ [74]. Additional Considerations - **CapEx Monitoring**: Investors are advised to closely monitor CapEx revisions from leading foundry and memory players, as well as signs of wafer start recovery, which could create upside for select suppliers [1][19]. - **China Exposure**: Continued focus on China exposure and its implications for revenue growth in 2026 remains a critical point for investors [9][26]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and financial expectations from the semiconductor industry and specific companies, highlighting potential investment opportunities and risks.
Jim Cramer Says “You Have to Expect Companies Like KLA to Keep Racking Up Big Orders” At This Point
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-08 12:20
KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC) is one of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 stocks Jim Cramer commented on. Cramer highlighted the company’s enormous rally in the previous year, as he said: “Next, there’s KLA Corp. There’s a, it’s another semiconductor equipment company just like Lam Research, up 93% last year. This one’s all about the data center’s voracious demand for memory chips. Well, at this point, frankly, in the cycle, you have to expect companies like KLA to keep racking up big orders because there’s simp ...
KLA Jumps 96% in a Year: Is There More Room for the Stock to Grow?
ZACKS· 2026-01-06 17:51
Core Insights - KLA Corporation (KLAC) shares have increased by 96.2% over the past 12 months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 24.6% and the Zacks Electronics-Miscellaneous Products industry's appreciation of 22.3% [1][8] - The company is experiencing strong demand driven by advanced packaging and AI infrastructure investments, which are contributing to its top-line growth [8][20] Stock Performance - KLA has outperformed peers such as Applied Materials (AMAT), Teradyne (TER), and Axcelis Technologies (ACLS), which returned 28.78%, 58.2%, and 20.8% respectively over the same period [2] - The stock is currently trading above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [9][11] Valuation - KLA is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 35.02X, which is higher than the broader sector's 27.66X and peers like Applied Materials at 28.78X and Axcelis at 19.57X [5] - The company has a Value Score of F, suggesting a premium valuation despite its strong performance [5] Growth Drivers - Advanced packaging revenues are projected to exceed $925 million in calendar 2025, representing a 70% increase from 2024 [11] - The advanced packaging market is expected to grow more than 20% in 2025 compared to the previous year, driven by rising process control demand [14] - KLA anticipates outperforming the mid-to-high single-digit wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) growth rate estimated for 2025 [14] Financial Health - KLA ended the first quarter of fiscal 2026 with $4.7 billion in cash and cash equivalents, alongside $5.9 billion in debt, indicating strong liquidity [16] - The company generated an operating cash flow of $1.16 billion and free cash flow of $1.07 billion in the first quarter, with $545 million spent on share repurchases and $254 million on dividends [17] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $35.44 per share, reflecting a 6.5% growth from 2025 [18] - The consensus for fiscal 2026 revenues is $13.04 billion, indicating a 7.3% increase from the previous year [18] - For the second quarter of fiscal 2026, earnings are estimated at $8.75 per share, showing a 6.7% growth year-over-year [19]
Strong AI Tailwinds Lift KLAC Despite Ongoing China Export Risks
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-03 00:31
KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC) is included among the 20 Best Performing Dividend Stocks in 2025. Strong AI Tailwinds Lift KLAC Despite Ongoing China Export Risks Photo by Dan Dennis on Unsplash KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC) is up nearly 97% since the start of 2025. Analyst sentiment has followed that move. Jefferies upgraded the shares to Buy and lifted its price target to $1,500. Oppenheimer kept an Outperform rating and set a $1,400 target. Those calls helped reinforce momentum and pushed investor conf ...
Is KLA Corporation (KLAC) The Best Performing Quantum Computing Stock of 2025?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-31 16:42
KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC) is among the Best Performing Quantum Computing Stocks in 2025. KLA Corporation (NASDAQ:KLAC) is trading at an all-time high with the share price of $1,279.60 on December 26. This comes after impressive 100.59% year-to-date gains. Wall Street is bullish ahead of the company’s fiscal Q2 2026 earnings, expected to be released on January 28. Analysts expect the company to post around $3.25 billion in revenue along with a GAAP EPS of $8.49. Recently, on December 19, Deutsche Bank ...
Earnings Preview: What to Expect From KLA Corporation's Report
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-31 13:00
KLA Corporation (KLAC), headquartered in Milpitas, California, designs, manufactures, and markets process control, process-enabling, and yield management solutions for the semiconductor and related electronics industries worldwide. With a market cap of $163.4 billion, the company offers surface profilers, nanomechanical testers, chips, and semiconductor assembly solutions. The leading supplier of process control and yield management solutions is expected to announce its fiscal second-quarter earnings for 2 ...
6 Chipmaker Stock Picks to Buy in 2026 As AI Capex Spending Nears $1T: BofA
Business Insider· 2025-12-29 15:58
What AI bubble? New research from Bank of America has thrown cold water on the growing narrative, and instead focuses on the upside the firm sees in chipmakers.The firm recently laid out its forecast for the coming year in a note to clients, predicting that the AI market will experience some volatility but ultimately finish the year strong as data center buildouts continue and companies double down on manufacturing and equipment spending. The analysts view the AI market as being roughly halfway through a ...
AI Infrastructure Demand Keeps KLA (KLAC) and Semiconductor Sector on Top for 2026
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-28 17:46
Group 1 - KLA Corporation is recognized as one of the best performing S&P 500 stocks in 2025, with price targets being raised by multiple financial institutions [1][2][3] - Bank of America increased its price target for KLA Corporation to $1,450 from $1,400 while maintaining a Buy rating, indicating confidence in the company's performance amid a decade-long transition towards AI-driven workloads [1] - Cantor Fitzgerald upgraded KLA Corporation to Overweight with a new price target of $1,500, reflecting optimism about AI infrastructure spending outweighing short-term cyclical concerns [2] - Jefferies also upgraded KLA Corporation to Buy with a price target of $1,500, citing the company's dominant position in leading-edge manufacturing as a key factor for benefiting from the demand for advanced chips and AI infrastructure [3] Group 2 - KLA Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets process control, process-enabling, and yield management solutions for the semiconductor and related electronics industries globally [4]
美银预测2026年半导体行业规模将达1万亿美元 领军者包括英伟达和博通等
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-26 15:27
美国银行预计2026年半导体行业规模将达到1万亿美元,由英伟达(NVDA)、博通(AVGO)、泛林 集团(LRCX)、科磊(KLAC)、ADI>亚德诺(ADI)和楷登电子(CDNS)引领,因AI数据中心建 设加速推进。 责任编辑:张俊 SF065 美国银行预计2026年半导体行业规模将达到1万亿美元,由英伟达(NVDA)、博通(AVGO)、泛林 集团(LRCX)、科磊(KLAC)、ADI>亚德诺(ADI)和楷登电子(CDNS)引领,因AI数据中心建 设加速推进。 责任编辑:张俊 SF065 ...
10 Best Performing S&P 500 Stocks in 2025
Insider Monkey· 2025-12-26 10:10
On December 20, Scott Wren, senior global market strategist at Wells Fargo, appeared on CNBC’s ‘Closing Bell Overtime’ to discuss which sectors are winners and where stocks may be headed going into 2026. Wren stated that the market is currently trading above the midpoint of his firm’s year-end target range. He observed a strong desire for the market to move higher and detailed specific defensive rotations his team made. Specifically, Wells Fargo moved Communication Services from overweight to even weight in ...