Netflix Earnings Are Coming. This Trade On The Stock Has A Large Profit Zone.

Company Overview - Netflix (NFLX) is experiencing a rebound after a minor pullback, surpassing the 50-day moving average [1] - The company is set to report earnings after the market closes on October 21, leading to increased volatility in short-term options compared to long-term options [1] Trading Strategy - A diagonal put spread is suggested as a strategy to capitalize on the volatility skew, involving selling an Oct. 24 put at a strike price of 1,090 and buying an Oct. 31 put at a strike price of 1,080 [2] - The trade results in a net debit of approximately 1.05, indicating minimal risk on the upside, with the worst-case scenario being the puts expiring worthless [3] Risk and Reward Analysis - The maximum potential gain from the trade is estimated at around 2,350, achievable if Netflix closes at 1,090 on October 24 [4] - Break-even prices are projected at approximately 1,030 and 1,240, with the trade performing well if the stock remains around 1,200 [4] - Aiming for a return of 10%-15% is advisable, with a stop loss in place to mitigate risks [5] Volatility Considerations - The put option being sold has a higher implied volatility (51%) compared to the one being bought (46%), aligning with the strategy of buying low and selling high in terms of volatility [6] - Closing the position before the earnings announcement on October 21 is recommended to reduce risk exposure [6] Performance Ratings - Investor's Business Daily assigns Netflix a Composite Rating of 93 out of 99, an Earnings Per Share Rating of 97, and a Relative Strength Rating of 80, ranking it first in its industry group [7]