中国物流业景气指数上扬：多行业需求增长 企业经营活力趋稳向好

Core Viewpoint - The logistics industry in China is experiencing a steady recovery, with the logistics prosperity index reaching a six-month high in September, indicating effective supply chain connections and stable growth in logistics demand [1][3]. Logistics Prosperity Index - The logistics prosperity index for September is reported at 51.2%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from the previous month [3]. - The total demand for logistics services continues to expand, with the new orders index accelerating within the expansion range [3]. Sector Performance - New orders indices for various sectors, including rail, road, air, multimodal transport, and express delivery, have all rebounded by more than 0.5 percentage points month-on-month [3]. - The postal and express delivery sector shows a significant business volume index of 70.1%, well above the industry average [5]. Consumer Demand - Post-summer heat, consumer logistics have rebounded quickly due to the back-to-school and travel seasons, with strong performance in online shopping and seasonal consumer goods [5][8]. - Categories such as cold chain fresh food, home appliances, outdoor tourism, and beauty products maintain high demand [5]. Industry Logistics Demand - Industries such as energy transport, electronic components, pharmaceuticals, telecommunications equipment, and durable consumer goods are experiencing positive growth in logistics demand [7]. - Air logistics demand is also growing rapidly, with high bellyhold utilization rates [7]. Business Activity and Profitability - The logistics industry shows a cumulative increase of 0.4 percentage points in the prosperity index for the third quarter, indicating improved business vitality [9]. - The logistics service price index, employment index, and main business profit index have all shown continuous recovery [9]. - The main business profit index for enterprises has increased by 0.5 percentage points in the third quarter, reflecting a certain degree of growth in operational and profitability levels [11]. Future Outlook - The average business activity expectation index for the third quarter is at 56%, indicating continued expansion [12]. - With the implementation of policies aimed at stabilizing employment, businesses, markets, and expectations, the logistics sector is expected to maintain a stable operational trend [12].