Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that plastic futures experienced a rapid decline, with the main contract dropping to a low of 6998.00 yuan and closing at 7004.00 yuan, reflecting a decrease of 0.68% [1] - Guantong Futures predicts that plastic prices will experience a downward trend in the near term, citing a decrease in operating rates due to maintenance of new HDPE facilities and a current operating rate around 89% [2] - The downstream operating rate for PE has increased by 1.21 percentage points to 44.13%, with agricultural film entering peak season, leading to a rise in orders and inventory [2] Group 2 - Ruida Futures anticipates a weak fluctuation for L2601 post-holiday, with expectations of a price range between 7100-7220 yuan, influenced by OPEC's decision to slightly increase production and concerns over U.S. government shutdown affecting economic growth [3] - The supply side is expected to see a significant increase in domestic polyethylene production due to the restart of multiple facilities, while downstream demand for agricultural films is projected to reach its peak for the year [3] - The overall inventory is expected to rise due to increased supply, leading to a clear expectation of inventory accumulation [3]
累库预期较为明确 预计近期塑料震荡下行