黑色星期五，黄金会受牵连吗？

Group 1 - The recent market turmoil resulted in over 152,000 liquidations amounting to $19 billion, with Bitcoin experiencing a 15% drop and U.S. stocks collectively declining [1] - Factors contributing to this "Black Friday" include a one-week U.S. government shutdown delaying multiple data releases, including CPI data, raising concerns about the potential impact on interest rate cuts in October [1] - Geopolitical risks have eased slightly with a temporary ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas, which has led to worries about reduced demand for safe-haven assets [1] - Ongoing trade conflicts, particularly the recent announcement of a 25% tariff on medium and heavy trucks, continue to affect investor sentiment [1] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in October is high at 92.4%, but concerns about inflation and the government shutdown may delay this decision [1] Group 2 - The gold market remains resilient despite recent sell-offs, with key support levels identified at $3965-$3960, and a critical defense level at $3940 [4] - The outlook for gold remains bullish as long as the price does not break below the $3940 level, with upward pressure expected towards $4025-$4035 [4] - Market participants are advised to adopt a "pricing" strategy for investments, suggesting to buy in increments as prices drop by $5-$8 rather than fixed intervals [4] Group 3 - The gold price is expected to surpass 1000 yuan, indicating that the bull market is not over, but adjustments are necessary during the upward trend [2] - Market sentiment is currently sensitive to any potential corrections in gold prices, which may indicate underlying risks [2]