油价连续2次搁浅调整，明天或将迎来下调

Core Viewpoint - The oil prices are set to decrease in October following a significant drop in international oil prices, marking a shift from previous stability in September [1][4]. Group 1: Oil Price Trends - On October 10, international oil prices experienced a sharp decline, with New York crude futures falling by 5.32% to $58.24 per barrel, the lowest in five months, and Brent crude futures dropping by 4.8% to $62.09 per barrel [1][4]. - Year-to-date, New York crude futures have decreased by 18.8%, while Brent crude futures have fallen by 16.81% [1][4]. Group 2: Factors Influencing Oil Prices - The decline in oil prices is attributed to several factors, including threats from the U.S. President to significantly increase tariffs, raising concerns about worsening international trade tensions [4]. - Additionally, OPEC has been increasing supply to the market, altering the supply-demand dynamics [4]. - A significant geopolitical shift in the Middle East, particularly the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas, is expected to reduce geopolitical risk premiums and improve oil supply expectations [4]. Group 3: Domestic Oil Price Adjustments - Since the last domestic oil price adjustment on August 26, there have been no changes for over a month, with two adjustments being shelved during this period [4]. - Domestic oil prices have experienced "six increases, seven decreases, and six suspensions" this year, resulting in a net effect where the price of 92-octane gasoline in Zhejiang Province has decreased by 0.32 yuan per liter [4].