执政联盟瓦解 日本首位女首相悬了

Core Points - The recent political turmoil in Japan has led to the unexpected withdrawal of the Komeito party from the ruling coalition with the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), complicating the path for Sanna Takichi, the newly elected LDP president, to become Japan's first female Prime Minister [1][4][5] Group 1: Political Developments - The Komeito party's decision to exit the coalition was influenced by dissatisfaction with the LDP's handling of the "black money" political scandal [5] - The LDP has faced significant challenges due to the "black money" scandal, which has overshadowed its political legitimacy and led to electoral losses [5][6] - The upcoming Prime Minister nomination election is critical, as the LDP no longer holds a majority in the National Diet following Komeito's withdrawal [6][7] Group 2: Implications for Governance - The LDP's loss of Komeito's support could result in a significant reduction of 25 to 45 seats in the upcoming 2024 House of Representatives election [6] - The political landscape is shifting towards a "multi-party era," where no single party can dominate, reminiscent of the political instability seen in the 1990s [8][9] - The inability to form a stable government may hinder effective policy implementation, particularly in addressing pressing economic issues such as rising prices and stagnation [9][10]