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力勤资源涨超8% 刚果(金)钴出口企业配额细节落地

Core Viewpoint - The lifting of the cobalt export ban in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) is expected to significantly impact global cobalt supply and prices, with the country being the largest producer globally, accounting for 75.86% of the world's production in 2024 [1] Group 1: Cobalt Market Impact - The DRC will lift its cobalt export ban on October 16, implementing an annual export quota management system, with a cap of 18,125 tons for the remainder of 2025 [1] - The export quota policy is projected to lead to a global cobalt supply shortage from 2025 to 2027, with shortfalls of 122,000 tons, 88,000 tons, and 97,000 tons respectively [1] - Analysts anticipate that cobalt prices are likely to rise significantly due to the expected supply constraints [1] Group 2: Nickel Market Dynamics - Indonesia's newly released RKAB regulations for 2026 are expected to boost nickel ore demand, supporting nickel prices [1] - Minsheng Securities noted that nickel prices are currently at a cyclical low, with clear cost support [1] Group 3: Company Growth Potential - The company has wet nickel production capacity located in Indonesia, which is not affected by the DRC's export restrictions, allowing it to fully benefit from rising cobalt prices [1] - The combination of new capacity release and cost advantages indicates significant growth potential for the company [1]