诺贝尔经济学奖即将揭晓，实证新贵和理论泰斗谁将折桂？

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences is highly anticipated, with diverse predictions regarding potential winners, including fields such as behavioral economics, labor economics, and international trade theory [1][2]. Group 1: Nobel Prize Overview - The Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences, officially known as the "Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel," has been awarded since 1969, with a total of 96 laureates as of October 12, 2025 [2]. - The prize is awarded annually on the anniversary of Nobel's death, and it can be shared among up to three individuals [2]. - The youngest laureate is Esther Duflo, who won in 2019 at the age of 46, while the oldest is Leonid Hurwicz, who was 90 when he won in 2007 [3]. Group 2: Female Laureates - Only three women have received the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences: Esther Duflo, Elinor Ostrom, and Claudia Goldin [3]. - Elinor Ostrom was the first female laureate, awarded in 2009 for her work on public resource management, while Claudia Goldin received the prize in 2023 for her contributions to understanding women's labor market outcomes [3]. Group 3: Predictions and Trends - As the announcement date approaches, speculation about potential winners intensifies, with notable candidates including recipients of other prestigious awards like the Clark Medal and the Clarivate Citation Laureates [4]. - Recent winners of the Clarivate Citation Laureates in economics include David Autor and Lawrence F. Katz for their analysis of wage structure and income inequality, and Marianne Bertrand and Sendhil Mullainathan for their work on labor economics [4][5]. - The Nobel Prize committee emphasizes that awarded discoveries must have significant scientific merit and societal impact, leading to extensive subsequent research [5].