国海证券：量子计算行业奇点将至 硬件端重点关注稀释制冷机/测控系统

Core Insights - The quantum computing industry is accelerating towards commercialization, with a focus on "scalability" and "fidelity" as key indicators [1] - Hardware components such as dilution refrigerators and measurement control systems are expected to account for 52.66% and 66.51% of the quantum computing hardware value by 2030 and 2035, respectively [1] Group 1: Quantum Computing Principles and Advantages - Traditional computing faces challenges due to the limitations of process miniaturization, while quantum computing offers superior efficiency for specific problems through the properties of quantum bits [1] - Quantum tunneling allows quantum bits to utilize tunneling phenomena to perform calculations, overcoming issues like leakage that affect traditional computing [1] - The reversible nature of quantum information processing addresses thermal dissipation effects, which are problematic in traditional high-density chips [1] Group 2: Quantum Computing Pathways - Three main pathways for quantum computing have been identified based on scalability and fidelity: superconducting, ion trap, and neutral atom technologies, with superconducting technology progressing the fastest [2] Group 3: Industry Readiness for Large-Scale Application - The quantum computing sector is on the brink of large-scale application, with significant developments expected between 2027 and 2029 [3] - Major global players are formulating strategies and investments in quantum computing, with the U.S. government highlighting the transition from laboratory to industrial application as a critical turning point [3] - Companies like Microsoft and Bluefors are making substantial commitments to quantum computing, with long-term investment strategies and large orders for critical components [3] Group 4: Key Hardware Components and Market Analysis - The three core hardware components of quantum computing are Quantum Processing Units (QPU), dilution refrigerators, and measurement control systems [4] - The market potential for dilution refrigerators is significant, with domestic performance on par with international leaders, and the measurement control systems market is also analyzed for growth opportunities [4]