香港第一金PPLI：多重不确定性持续为黄金白银提供支撑

Group 1: Market Overview - The recent increase in holdings of gold ETFs indicates a rising demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, with holdings reaching 1017.16 tons, up by 3.72 tons from the previous trading day and a net increase of 4.28 tons for the month [1] - The complex global economic and geopolitical landscape, including escalating US-China trade tensions and regulatory investigations, is contributing to the heightened appeal of precious metals [1][2] - The ongoing US government shutdown and concerns over the US debt situation are creating uncertainty in the market, with the public debt-to-GDP ratio reaching 99% last year, prompting a reevaluation of the dollar's credibility [2][3] Group 2: Investment Strategies - For gold, the technical analysis suggests a bullish outlook with a recommendation to buy on dips, particularly in the price range of 4043.6 to 4049.6, with a stop-loss at 4038.6 and a target of 4053.6 to 4059.6 [5] - Silver's technical indicators show a similar pattern to gold, with a recommendation to enter long positions when prices fall to the 49.53 to 50.03 range, setting a stop-loss at 49.43 and targeting 50.13 to 50.63 [6] Group 3: Key Data and Events - Important upcoming data includes China's September electricity consumption and trade balance, as well as the OPEC monthly oil market report, which could influence market dynamics [7] - The World Bank and IMF's annual meeting is set to take place from October 15 to 18, where policy signals may impact the financial markets [7]