仅仅2天，特朗普发出“可能取消对华新关税”的暗示，美股上涨！

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China, highlighting President Trump's fluctuating stance on tariffs and the implications for both economies [2][4][16]. Group 1: U.S.-China Trade Relations - On October 12, President Trump hinted at canceling new tariffs on China, leading to a rise in U.S. stock index futures [2][16]. - Following China's retaliatory measures, including export restrictions on rare earths and increased port fees for U.S. vessels, Trump expressed anger and threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods starting November 1 [4][9][13]. - The article emphasizes that the U.S. and China are economically intertwined, and mutual sanctions would likely harm the U.S. more than China [21][22]. Group 2: China's Strategic Position - China remains a dominant player in global manufacturing, particularly in rare earth elements, making it difficult for other nations to replace its role [19][20]. - The new regulations on rare earth exports and increased fees for U.S. ships are seen as strategic moves to counter U.S. sanctions [5][9]. - The article suggests that China's response to U.S. actions is not merely retaliatory but a calculated strategy to maintain its economic standing [12][22]. Group 3: Market Reactions - Trump's comments on October 12 were interpreted as a signal to ease tensions, resulting in a significant uptick in U.S. stock markets [16][13]. - The article posits that the stock market serves as a barometer for economic sentiment, reflecting the interconnectedness of U.S. and Chinese economies [16][22]. - The potential for negotiation and adjustment in tariff policies is highlighted as a pragmatic approach by Trump, who is characterized as a flexible dealmaker [23][26][27].