Group 1 - The international gold price has officially surpassed $4060 per ounce, marking a historical high and a year-to-date increase of 52% from $3200 at the beginning of the year [1][3] - Domestic gold prices have also surged, with Shanghai gold T+D reaching 911.5 yuan per gram, reflecting a daily increase of 4.79%, indicating a stronger performance compared to the international market [3][5] - The market is divided, with some investors profiting significantly, while others are taking risks by buying at high prices, leading to potential losses [7] Group 2 - The surge in gold prices is attributed to three main factors: the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, central banks accumulating gold, and heightened risk aversion due to geopolitical tensions [5][11] - Following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in September, the probability of another 25 basis point cut in October is estimated at 87.7%, leading to a decline in the dollar and an increase in gold demand as a hedge [5][11] - Central banks globally, including China's, have been increasing their gold reserves, with China's holdings reaching 74.06 million ounces and a total of 166 tons purchased by central banks in Q2 [5][11] Group 3 - Future projections for gold prices are optimistic, with Goldman Sachs setting a target of $4900 by the end of next year, supported by ongoing purchases from central banks and institutions [9] - Citic Securities has a more conservative estimate, predicting a potential rise to $4500 in Q1 next year, but warns of possible short-term corrections [9] - Long-term outlook remains positive as long as central banks continue to buy and the dollar remains weak, while short-term monitoring of the $4000 support level is advised [9][11]
疯涨52%！国际金价冲破4060美元，国内金饰破1160元！普通人现在还能入手吗？
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-13 07:51