定了，今晚将调整

Core Viewpoint - The domestic retail price of refined oil in China is expected to decrease, leading to lower consumer fuel costs, with a projected reduction of approximately 3 yuan for filling a 50-liter tank of 92 gasoline [1][2] Pricing Mechanism - The adjustment of domestic refined oil prices is based on the weighted average price of international crude oil over the past 10 working days compared to the previous week [1] - If the price change per ton is less than 50 yuan, no adjustment will be made, and the unadjusted amount will be carried over to the next pricing cycle [1] Recent Price Trends - During the current pricing cycle (from September 23 to October 13, 2025), international crude oil prices experienced fluctuations, initially rising due to geopolitical tensions and OPEC+ production plans, followed by a decline due to easing geopolitical premiums and trade tensions [1] - As of October 10, the reference crude oil price change rate was -1.81%, leading to a forecasted reduction of 75 yuan per ton for gasoline and 70 yuan per ton for diesel [1] Future Price Expectations - The upcoming pricing window on October 27, 2025, is anticipated to also reflect a downward trend in refined oil prices based on current international crude oil levels [2] - Analysts predict that the next round of price adjustments will likely continue the trend of "six increases, eight decreases, and six stasis" for 2025 [2] - Market sentiment is shifting towards risk aversion, with concerns over trade tariffs and a potential oversupply situation, suggesting further downward pressure on oil prices [2]