Group 1 - The price of lithium hexafluorophosphate (6F) has accelerated upward, reaching a maximum of 73,000 yuan/ton after the holiday, an increase of over 8,500 yuan/ton compared to before the holiday [1] - The recent price surge is attributed to depleted industry inventory and a lack of effective supply increase, with some leading companies experiencing inventory exhaustion, potentially leading to a decline in shipments in Q4 2025 [1][2] - There is a notable demand for lithium batteries in energy storage and commercial vehicles, which is expected to support lithium battery demand growth next year [1][3] Group 2 - Many leading 6F companies have seen their monthly shipments exceed production in the first three quarters, leading to a significant reduction in inventory, with reports indicating that several representative companies have exhausted their stock [2] - Even with a potential 20% quarter-on-quarter decline in demand during the Q1 2026 off-season, 6F companies can maintain full production with appropriate inventory replenishment, suggesting that the current price increase may extend through the off-season [2] - The electric vehicle market, particularly in commercial vehicles, has shown significant growth, with domestic sales of new energy commercial vehicles reaching 481,000 units from January to August, a year-on-year increase of 59% [3]
招商证券:六氟磷酸锂价格加速上涨 涨势有望穿越淡季