伦敦贵金属：银价逼近历史纪录，四大贵金属涨幅55%-80%

Core Insights - The London market is experiencing a historic short squeeze, leading to silver prices reaching multi-decade highs, with spot silver nearing $52 per ounce, a significant increase of 3.1% [1] - Gold has also seen a rise, surpassing $4,070 per ounce, continuing an eight-week upward trend, while platinum and palladium prices have surged as market tensions spread to other precious metals [1] Market Dynamics - Concerns over insufficient liquidity in the London silver market are driving prices close to the historical record of $52.50 per ounce set in 1980, with the London benchmark silver price significantly higher than that in New York [1] - The one-month leasing rate for London silver skyrocketed over 30% last Friday, indicating tightening liquidity in precious metal reserves, with similar increases observed in gold and palladium leasing rates [1] Investment Trends - Analysts from Goldman Sachs highlight that the low liquidity in the silver market, which is about one-ninth the size of the gold market, could amplify price volatility, suggesting that a withdrawal of investment funds without central bank support may lead to significant corrections [1] - The four major precious metals have seen price increases ranging from 55% to 80% this year, driven by factors such as central bank gold purchases, increased ETF holdings, and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, alongside geopolitical and trade risks boosting safe-haven demand [1] Geopolitical Factors - The geopolitical and trade risks that initially supported gold prices are now showing signs of weakening, although analysts note that trade volatility is unlikely to disappear completely, which remains favorable for gold [1] - The conclusion of the U.S. "Section 232" investigation is anticipated, with traders wary of potential tariffs on metals, while the reduction in London silver inventories has laid the groundwork for the current short squeeze [1]