特朗普刚对中国“掀桌子”，半天时间都不到，美国马上就露怯了

Core Viewpoint - The recent announcement by Trump regarding a potential 100% tariff on Chinese goods is seen as a political maneuver rather than a genuine economic strategy, aimed at rallying support ahead of upcoming elections [1][4][33]. Group 1: Tariff Announcement and Political Context - Trump's call for a 100% tariff is not a spontaneous decision but a strategic move to elevate the rhetoric surrounding trade with China [3][5]. - The timing of this announcement is crucial, as it coincides with significant domestic elections, suggesting that it serves to create a confrontational atmosphere to garner votes [4][11]. - The use of tariffs as a political tool has become a standard practice within Trump's administration, aimed at pressuring China into concessions [7][11]. Group 2: Economic Implications and Global Impact - The proposed tariffs, while seemingly aggressive, are part of a familiar strategy that has not effectively reversed the trade deficit or brought manufacturing back to the U.S. [13][46]. - The uncertainty created by such tariff threats affects not only U.S.-China relations but also disrupts global supply chains, impacting economies that are closely tied to China [13][44]. - U.S. consumers and businesses are likely to bear the brunt of these tariffs, raising costs and complicating the economic landscape [9][26]. Group 3: U.S. Trade Representative's Response - The U.S. Trade Representative's statement downplaying the likelihood of a trade war indicates a strategic balancing act, where aggressive rhetoric is coupled with a softer stance to manage public perception [17][21]. - This dual approach of hard and soft messaging is designed to maintain pressure on China while also preparing for potential backlash from domestic industries [21][29]. - The lack of specific details regarding the implementation of the tariffs suggests that the U.S. is still gauging reactions from both the market and China before proceeding [23][24]. Group 4: China's Position and Strategic Response - China is unlikely to respond to tariff threats with immediate concessions, as the trade dynamics have evolved into a broader competition between the two nations [29][52]. - The Chinese government has been enhancing its own economic resilience while continuing to engage in global trade, indicating a strategic approach to withstand U.S. pressures [52][54]. - Observations from other countries suggest a growing discontent with U.S. unilateralism, which may shift the balance of power in international trade discussions [54][56].