金荣中国：现货黄金反弹收复此前回吐，盘中再度挑战历史高点4060

Fundamental Analysis - Gold prices rebounded to around $4047, challenging historical highs due to heightened geopolitical risks, international trade tensions, and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][3] - The U.S. stock and bond markets experienced significant volatility, with the 10-year Treasury yield dropping to 4.057%, the lowest since mid-September, reflecting deepening economic concerns [1] - The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 25 basis points in both October and December, with probabilities of 97% and 92% respectively, which diminishes the attractiveness of the dollar and boosts gold demand [3] - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown has disrupted the release of key economic data, increasing uncertainty and contributing to a decline in consumer confidence [3] - Trade tensions escalated as President Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese exports, leading to a 0.5% drop in the dollar index, which further supports gold prices [4][5] - Geopolitical tensions, particularly the U.S.-Russia conflict over Ukraine, and instability in the Middle East have also bolstered gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [5][6] Technical Analysis - Gold prices showed resilience with a bullish closing on Friday, indicating potential for further upward movement towards the historical high of 4060 [9] - Short-term bullish momentum was observed after a breakout above 3900, with strong buying support noted around 3950 [9] - Traders are advised to monitor levels above 4020/4000 for potential long positions, with a focus on breaking through the 4060 resistance [9]