天风证券:赛点2.0第三阶段攻坚不易 重视恒生互联网 把投资主线降维为这三个方向
TF SecuritiesTF Securities(SH:601162) 智通财经网·2025-10-13 23:53

Core Viewpoint - The report from Tianfeng Securities emphasizes the challenges in the third phase of the "Saidian 2.0" initiative, highlighting the importance of Hang Seng Internet amidst economic recovery and market liquidity [1][7]. Industry Trends - Overall industry sentiment shows an upward trend in sectors such as electric equipment, machinery, electronics, food and beverage, light manufacturing, real estate, and retail, while sectors like oil and petrochemicals, construction materials, pharmaceuticals, textiles, automotive, public utilities, and environmental protection are experiencing a downward trend [2]. - The report predicts strong performance in specific sub-industries over the next four weeks, including automotive services, commercial vehicles, automotive parts, rail transit equipment, lighting equipment, household appliance parts, chemical pharmaceuticals, non-metallic materials, plastics, consumer electronics, chemical fibers, electronic chemicals, and motors [2]. Key Data Points - In the automotive sector, the operating rate for semi-steel tires in China is reported at 46.51%, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 27.07 percentage points [3]. - In the machinery sector, the factory price for liquid oxygen in Shandong is reported at 270.0 CNY per ton, with a week-on-week increase of 3.85% [4]. - In the transportation sector, the weekly subway passenger volume in Beijing is 10.5665 million, showing a week-on-week increase of 52.78%, while in Suzhou, the volume is 1.896 million, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 21.94% [4]. - In the pharmaceutical sector, the market price for domestic vitamin E (50%) is reported at 47.5 CNY per kilogram, with a week-on-week decrease of 5.94% [5]. - In the basic chemical sector, the spot price for acetic acid is 2500.0 CNY per ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1.63% [5]. - In the electronics sector, the average spot price for DRAM DDR3 (4Gb) is reported at 2.58 USD, with a week-on-week increase of 6.71% [6]. - In the electric equipment sector, the price for lithium hexafluorophosphate is reported at 67,500 CNY per ton, with a week-on-week increase of 10.66%, while the average price for lithium iron phosphate is 33,700 CNY per ton, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 0.3% [6]. Investment Strategy - The investment focus is categorized into three main directions: 1) breakthroughs in Deepseek and leadership in open-source technology AI, 2) internal and external resonance with gradual economic recovery, favoring a "stronger gets stronger" bull market style, though cyclical stocks may perform better in the latter half, and 3) the continued rise of undervalued dividends [1][7]. - The report suggests that during the early stages of a bull market, funds tend to favor a few high-sentiment sectors, while in later stages, funds concentrate on main lines, making it harder for new funds to profit [7].