Group 1: Gold Market - The rising risk aversion is expected to support gold prices, driven by the U.S. government shutdown and delayed economic data releases [1] - President Trump announced a 100% tariff on certain commodities in November and key software export controls, further increasing risk aversion [1] - The Federal Reserve shows internal divisions regarding interest rate cuts, but the market remains optimistic about continued accommodative monetary policy [1] - Analyst Chen Yu believes that with the clear continuation of the Fed's accommodative policy and rising risk aversion, strong gold prices are likely [1] - Technically, the recent trading day showed a bullish trend, with support found at the 62-day moving average [1] Group 2: Oil Market - Despite attacks on Russian refineries, Russian oil exports have increased, while OPEC+ plans to raise production by 137,000 barrels per day in October and November [4] - The demand side is pressured by the end of the U.S. demand season and maintenance seasons in Europe, alongside deteriorating trade relations between major economies [4] - The risk of oversupply in the oil market remains high for Q4, suggesting that oil prices will likely remain at relatively low levels [4] - Technically, the recent trading day showed a slight bullish adjustment, but the market remains under pressure with key resistance at $60.62 and support at $57 [4] Group 3: Copper Market - The copper market shows potential for upward movement after testing the 20-day moving average and finding support [6] - The short-term outlook is positive, with a focus on maintaining support above $5.01 [6] Group 4: Nikkei 225 Index - The Nikkei 225 index is experiencing technical corrections but remains above the 62-day moving average, indicating strong bullish sentiment [7] - Short-term attention is on the support level around 46,985 [7]
百利好早盘分析：避险加宽松 金价在上攻
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-14 01:40