黄金，离10000美元有多远？

Core Viewpoint - The price of spot gold has surged over 50% this year, with projections suggesting it could reach $10,000 per ounce by 2028 if the current upward trend continues [1][2]. Group 1: Current Gold Price Trends - As of October 13, spot gold prices reached a historic high of $4,060 per ounce, with gold ETFs increasing by over 2%, bringing their total scale to over 21 billion [2]. - The price of gold has surpassed $4,000 per ounce for the first time in history, with a notable jump to $4,060 per ounce shortly thereafter [2]. - Analysts predict that if the current trend continues, gold could reach $6,000 per ounce by spring next year, based on historical patterns of gold price increases [2]. Group 2: Long-term Projections - Yardeni Research's Ed Yardeni maintains a bullish outlook on gold, forecasting a target of $5,000 per ounce by 2026 and potentially exceeding $10,000 per ounce before 2030 if the current momentum persists [2]. - According to Yardeni's analysis, if the upward trend continues, gold could hit the $10,000 milestone between mid-2028 and early 2029 [2]. Group 3: Factors Driving Gold Prices - The expectation of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts is boosting gold prices, alongside rising debt levels in major developed economies, which is causing investor unease about the global monetary system [3]. - Key factors supporting gold prices include anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts, geopolitical uncertainties, and concerns over fiscal sustainability [3]. - Despite the current optimism in the gold market, there are indications that the pace of price increases may slow as key supportive factors diminish [3].