金荣中国：贸易局势主导市场氛围，金价持续冲高涨势维持

Market Overview - International gold prices saw a significant increase on October 13, opening at $4000.66 per ounce, reaching a high of $4107.37, a low of $3995.30, and closing at $4104.87 [1] - The largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, increased its holdings by 1.72 tons, bringing the total to 1018.88 tons [5] Monetary Policy Insights - Federal Reserve's Paulson indicated a preference for two more rate cuts this year, each by 25 basis points, suggesting that tariffs' impact on consumer prices should be disregarded in policy formulation [3] - Analysts from Standard Chartered noted that if the U.S. economy remains strong, the likelihood of further rate cuts in 2026 may decrease, potentially leading to higher dollar and U.S. Treasury yields [4] - Morgan Stanley analysts expect weak organic sales growth in the consumer goods sector for Q3, with a possibility of slight improvement by 2026, but overall growth may remain below long-term trends [4] Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold prices have shown a stable upward trend, with a significant rise after testing the $3995 level, stabilizing around $4131 [8][9] - Short-term indicators suggest a strong upward trend, but caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions [9] Trading Strategy - Suggested trading strategies include aggressive buying around $4090 with a stop loss of 3-5 points and a target above $4010, or a more conservative entry at $4060 with similar stop loss and a target above $4080 [10]