反内卷新政将至?海外订单密集落地,引爆港A光伏板块
Ge Long Hui·2025-10-14 04:28

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic sector in both Hong Kong and A-shares has shown strong performance, with significant price increases in various companies, driven by multiple favorable factors including price stabilization, policy expectations, and accelerated overseas expansion [1][6][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share photovoltaic equipment sector has seen substantial gains, with companies like Aiko Solar rising over 12% and LONGi Green Energy increasing by over 8% [1]. - In the Hong Kong market, solar stocks such as Flat Glass Group and Xinyi Solar have also risen by more than 5% [1]. - The photovoltaic sector has experienced a cumulative increase of over 8% since September 24, and a 45% increase from the year's low on April 9 [4]. Group 2: Supporting Factors - The recovery in the photovoltaic supply chain prices has been a key factor supporting market confidence, with prices for polysilicon, wafers, cells, and modules all rising [6]. - There are strong expectations for new policies aimed at regulating photovoltaic capacity, which have further boosted market sentiment [6]. - Recent reports indicate that the photovoltaic industry association held a meeting to discuss industry developments, reflecting high market attention towards policy changes [6]. Group 3: Overseas Expansion - Chinese photovoltaic companies are accelerating their overseas expansion, with significant orders from emerging markets like India, the Middle East, and Africa [7]. - Notable contracts include a 4GW solar project in Saudi Arabia worth approximately 17.65 billion yuan, and various agreements with countries like Pakistan and Iran for solar component supplies [7]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Outlook - Many photovoltaic companies faced pressure in the first half of 2025, with LONGi Green Energy reporting a revenue of 32.813 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of about 14.83% [8]. - Despite losses, the reduction in loss margins indicates potential recovery, with market expectations shifting towards upcoming quarterly reports [8]. - Analysts believe the industry is entering a bottoming phase, with potential for a turnaround driven by improved fundamentals and policy support [9].