Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-14 06:35Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic ETF (159857) has shown significant market activity, with a notable increase in trading volume and price appreciation among key component stocks, indicating a positive sentiment in the solar energy sector [1][3]. Market Performance - As of October 14, 2025, the photovoltaic ETF (159857) experienced a price increase of over 6%, currently up by 1.66%, with a trading volume of 346 million yuan and a turnover rate of 13.81% [1]. - The ETF has seen a net inflow of 13.5584 million yuan over the last four trading days, with three days of positive net inflow [3]. Industry Trends - The photovoltaic industry is witnessing a significant recovery in prices across various segments, with average price increases of 35% for polysilicon, silicon wafers, battery cells, and modules in Q3 2025 [3]. - The overall inventory in the industry has improved, decreasing from 45 days at the end of Q2 to 28 days, alleviating supply-demand tensions [4]. Company Performance - Leading companies in the photovoltaic sector are showing signs of profitability recovery, with Longi Green Energy indicating a turnaround in its main business for Q4, and Aiko Solar achieving profitability in Q2, resulting in a 52% increase in stock price [5]. - Key raw material suppliers, such as Tongwei and GCL-Poly, are also experiencing narrowing losses due to rising polysilicon prices, with expectations for a comprehensive profitability recovery in Q4 2025 [6]. Technological Advancements - The industry is undergoing a supply-side optimization, with a significant reduction in outdated production capacity, particularly in older PERC production lines, while N-type technology (TOPCon, HJT) is rapidly increasing its market share to over 70% [6]. - The acceleration of technological iterations is enhancing the overall profitability of the industry [6]. Regulatory Environment - Recent announcements from the National Development and Reform Commission and the State Administration for Market Regulation emphasize the need to maintain a healthy market price order, indicating ongoing upward price pressures in the photovoltaic industry [6].