Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-14 07:15Core Viewpoint - HSBC believes that the US dollar is likely to weaken further, despite ongoing debates about whether it has already bottomed out [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - HSBC's global foreign exchange research head, Paul Mackel, indicates that historical trends show the dollar tends to weaken when the Federal Reserve resumes a loose monetary policy and the US economy avoids recession [1] - Discussions about a potential acceleration in the US economy, along with recent political turmoil in France and Japan, have prompted considerations regarding the dollar's sideways movement since July [1] Group 2: Market Sentiment - The market's sentiment is described as unpredictable, with a strong desire for a stronger dollar being tempting, but it is deemed premature to abandon bearish views [1] - Mackel forecasts that the dollar will likely reach its bottom by early next year [1]