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广发证券:首予中国生物制药“买入”评级 步入创新发展新阶段
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-14 08:02

Core Viewpoint - The report from GF Securities initiates coverage on China Biopharmaceutical (01177) with a "Buy" rating, projecting EPS of 0.23, 0.26, and 0.28 CNY per share for 2025-2027, and a fair value of HKD 11.54 per share, highlighting the company's transformation from a generic drug manufacturer to an R&D-driven international pharmaceutical group [1][2]. Group 1 - The company has established a strong product matrix through self-research, mergers and acquisitions, and pipeline introductions, covering four core therapeutic areas: oncology, liver disease, respiratory system, and surgical/pain management [1][2]. - R&D investment has been increasing year-on-year from 2018 to the first half of 2025, with the R&D expense ratio rising from 9.9% to 18.1%, and R&D expenses reaching CNY 3.188 billion in the first half of 2025, with approximately 78% allocated to innovative drug development [2]. Group 2 - In the oncology field, key products include: - "Defu" combination therapy with Anlotinib, which is a flagship product, and its combination with anti-PD-(L)1 for first-line indications [2]. - HER2 dual antibody ADC TQB2102, which is leading globally and has entered Phase III for treating HER2 low-expressing and HER2-positive breast cancer [2]. - CDK2/4/6 inhibitor Kumosilib, a global first, has submitted for marketing approval for HR+/HER2- breast cancer [2]. - CCR8 monoclonal antibody LM-108, a global first, is currently in Phase II [2]. - In the respiratory field, PDE3/4 inhibitors are expected to become a blockbuster drug for COPD, with TQC3721 being in the second position globally [2]. - In the liver disease area, the pan-PPAR agonist Lanifibranor may become the first MASH drug in China, while FGF21 fusion protein could be the most effective MASH drug [2]. - In the surgical and pain management sector, the company has established four transdermal patch technology platforms, solidifying its position as a leader in transdermal formulations [2].