对话贺铿：别只盯着投资，多想想怎么涨工资

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need to shift China's economic policy focus from infrastructure investment to increasing residents' income and boosting consumption, as the current reliance on investment has led to insufficient demand in the economy [2][3][5]. Investment and Economic Policy - The trend of over-reliance on investment has been evident since 1998, with negative impacts becoming more pronounced after 2008, resulting in a long-term low share of consumption in GDP [3][15]. - Current economic policies should prioritize improving residents' income through effective income distribution adjustments, such as mechanisms for wage increases linked to corporate profits [3][19]. - The article critiques the traditional focus on infrastructure and real estate investment, suggesting that funds should be redirected towards social welfare and living standards [5][6][15]. Employment and Income Distribution - There is a pressing need to address employment issues, particularly for the youth, with over 10 million university graduates entering the job market annually [6][10]. - The article highlights the importance of accurately measuring unemployment, especially in rural areas, where many migrant workers face job losses [7][10]. - A proposed income distribution mechanism should ensure that wage increases are legislated and not left to corporate discretion, addressing the slow growth of employee wages [17][19]. New Infrastructure and Digital Economy - The article advocates for a balanced view on new infrastructure investments, recognizing the necessity of certain projects while cautioning against hasty investments in areas like 5G, which may not yet have a clear demand [4][14]. - The concept of the digital economy is critiqued for its vague definitions, with many companies misrepresenting their digitalization efforts [4]. Long-term Economic Strategy - The article stresses that macroeconomic policies should serve long-term goals rather than short-term fixes, with a focus on sustainable growth driven by consumer spending [23][24]. - It suggests that the lessons from the U.S. economic transformation in the 1990s could provide valuable insights for China's current economic challenges [8][27]. Real Estate Market Concerns - The article expresses concerns about high housing prices, indicating that the affordability of housing should be assessed based on income ratios, which currently indicate a disparity [28]. - It argues that the real estate market's overheating is partly due to local governments' reliance on land sales for revenue, which distorts economic priorities [12][13].