美以宣布战争结束，加沙人的噩梦结束了？

Core Points - The article discusses the recent hostage exchange between Israel and Hamas, which was facilitated by a peace agreement led by former U.S. President Trump, marking a significant moment in the ongoing conflict [2][3]. Group 1: Hostage Exchange and Immediate Outcomes - On October 13, a total of 20 hostages were released, including 7 handed over to the Red Cross, which was met with public celebration in Tel Aviv [1][2]. - Concurrently, nearly 2,000 Palestinian prisoners were released by Israel, indicating a reciprocal gesture in the peace process [2]. Group 2: Factors Leading to Ceasefire - The ceasefire was driven by multiple pressures on Israel, including high casualties (nearly 2,000 deaths) and increasing public dissent regarding the war's legitimacy [3]. - International condemnation and shifting alliances, particularly with Arab nations, further pressured Israel to negotiate [3][5]. - The humanitarian crisis in Gaza, with over 67,000 deaths and a collapsed infrastructure, created a dire need for peace among the civilian population [3][4]. Group 3: Role of International Actors - Trump's involvement was pivotal, as he aimed to reshape U.S. influence in the region while addressing the humanitarian crisis [6]. - The U.S. plans to send 200 military personnel to assist in stabilizing the region, working alongside other nations to form an international peacekeeping force [6]. Group 4: Challenges to Peace Agreement Implementation - The peace agreement faces uncertainties regarding its enforcement and the effectiveness of monitoring mechanisms, which lack substantial power [7][8]. - Concerns exist about potential security vacuums and the risk of rearmament by Hamas or other factions if a stable security force is not established post-Israel's military withdrawal [7][8]. Group 5: Long-term Political Implications - The future governance of Gaza remains contentious, with potential for a "semi-autonomous, internationally supervised" model, complicating the political landscape [9]. - The ongoing regional power dynamics, with countries like Qatar and Egypt playing mediating roles, will influence the stability of the ceasefire and future negotiations [9][10].