CSII(SZ:300663) Quan Jing Wang·2025-10-14 11:36Policy Background - In October 2025, the U.S. will include "critical software" in its export control list, covering areas such as database management systems and industrial design tools [1] - Following this, Chinese authorities updated the "Xinchuang Product Catalog," mandating that new IT procurement projects prioritize domestically developed software that has passed national security reviews [1] Correspondence Between SUNDB and Control List - The SUNDB database from Kela Software is categorized as "Database Management Software" under the U.S. control list [2] - The self-developed source code rate is 98.31%, and it does not utilize U.S. open-source codes like MySQL or PostgreSQL, mitigating "U.S. technology" licensing risks [2] - SUNDB has passed dual security certifications from domestic and international standards [2] Quantitative Impact from Demand Changes - As of June 2025, the domestic software adoption rate in core trading systems of state-owned and joint-stock banks is below 25% [3] - Major banks are accelerating their migration plans from Oracle to 2026, originally set for 2027 [3] - For a single bank with assets over 5 trillion yuan, the database licensing fees are estimated at 120-150 million yuan; if all 12 major banks initiate replacements, the market size could reach 1.4-1.8 billion yuan [3] Key Infrastructure Industries - By September 2025, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology mandated that the database localization rate in critical infrastructure sectors must reach 50% by the end of 2026 [4] - The existing Oracle and DB2 systems in telecommunications, energy, and transportation sectors total approximately 3,800, with a theoretical market space of 11.4-19 billion yuan based on a unit cost of 3-5 million yuan each [4] Government Procurement List - Kela Software's SUNDB has been included in the centralized procurement list for central government agencies and state-owned enterprises [5] - Following the control measures, 68 new database segments were added to the central procurement center's list in Q4 2025, with 42 explicitly stating "no U.S. technology" products [5] Supply-Side Exclusivity - The closed-source architecture of SUNDB avoids U.S. "open-source license" jurisdiction [6] - Kela Software holds 126 authorized patents covering core modules, creating a technological barrier against similar domestic open-source products [6] - Collaboration with Tsinghua University to establish a joint research institute will utilize national funding from 2025 to 2027 to further develop the next-generation fully in-memory distributed version of SUNDB [6] Market Share Changes - As of Q3 2025, the market share for distributed databases in China is as follows: Dameng 18.4%, SUNDB 16.7%, Nanda General 11.2%, and Oracle 14.9%, with Oracle experiencing a year-on-year decline of 6.8 percentage points [7][8] Conclusion - Kela Software's SUNDB is positioned to benefit directly from the concentrated replacement demand in the financial, telecommunications, and energy sectors due to the U.S. export control measures and tightening domestic regulations on "U.S. technology" procurement [9]