Core Viewpoint - The gold and silver markets have reached historical highs driven by risk aversion, with London gold rising from a low of $3947 to a peak of $4179, marking a cumulative increase of approximately 5.8% [1] - London silver has also shown strength, surpassing its previous historical high of $49.79, driven by a crisis of confidence in the US dollar due to aggressive policies from the Trump administration [3] Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - London gold has experienced a significant price increase, with expectations of breaking the $4200 mark [1] - The upward trend in gold prices is attributed to a loss of confidence in the US dollar, exacerbated by high tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, which have negatively impacted global economic potential [3] Group 2: Silver Market Analysis - London silver has consistently closed higher from October 8 to 13, reaching a peak of $53.48, thus achieving a new historical high alongside gold [3] - The current performance of silver indicates a strong market sentiment, reflecting a broader trend of investors seeking safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainty [3] Group 3: US Dollar and Economic Indicators - The US dollar index is currently at 99.36, showing signs of recovery after a decline earlier in the year, but the overall economic outlook remains challenging due to poor non-farm employment data [5] - The Federal Reserve's decision to restart interest rate cuts, with a 25 basis point reduction in September, is a response to a weak labor market, while inflation remains high, creating a complex economic environment [5] Group 4: Technical Analysis - London gold is in a strong upward trend, with the 10-day moving average serving as a key indicator of market strength; a drop below this average could signal a potential correction [7] - Given the significant prior gains, there is a possibility of profit-taking, which may lead to a deeper market correction [7]
ATFX汇评：特朗普政策危机延续，金银齐创历史新高，谨慎“逢高做空”心态
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-14 11:39