Can Prologis Sustain Its Growth Momentum in Q3 Amid Market Pressures?

Core Insights - Prologis (PLD) is set to report its Q3 2025 results on October 15, with analysts and investors keen to evaluate its performance in the current economic environment [1] Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, Prologis achieved a core funds from operations (FFO) per share surprise of 3.55%, driven by increased rental revenues and strong leasing activity, although high interest expenses posed challenges [2] - Over the past four quarters, Prologis consistently exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for FFO per share, with an average beat of 4.88% [2] Strategic Positioning - Prologis benefits from its strategic portfolio located in key distribution markets, with a focus on targeted acquisitions and built-to-suit developments expected to bolster Q3 results despite broader market challenges [3] - The company's scale and cost advantages, along with a resilient balance sheet and efficient capital access, position it well for continued growth [4] Market Challenges - High interest expenses remain a concern, with expectations that they will stay elevated in Q3, compounded by excess supply leading to increased competition and pressure on occupancy rates [5] Revenue and Occupancy Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 revenues is $2.09 billion, reflecting a 10% year-over-year increase [6] - Average occupancy is projected at 94.8%, indicating a 60 basis points decrease from the previous quarter, while same-store net operating income is expected to rise by 2.2% year over year [6] Earnings Forecast - The consensus estimate for Q3 FFO per share has been revised upward to $1.44, representing a 0.7% year-over-year increase [7] - The current model does not predict a surprise in FFO per share for Prologis, with a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and an Earnings ESP of 0.00% [8] Additional Stock Considerations - Other REITs such as Extra Space Storage Inc. (EXR) and Vornado Realty Trust (VNO) are highlighted as potential stocks to watch, with both showing favorable conditions for reporting an FFO beat this quarter [11][12]