美股盘后意外反弹，华尔街判断白宫对华加税：纯粹是诈不会真干！

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant decline on "Black Friday," with all three major indices falling sharply, but a subsequent rebound in after-hours trading suggests a more rational analysis of future market directions by Wall Street [1] Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 1.9% - The S&P 500 index fell by 2.71% - The Nasdaq Composite Index plummeted by 3.56%, marking the largest single-day decline since April [1] Market Reactions - After the initial shock, Wall Street began to reassess the situation, interpreting the recent actions as a negotiation tactic by Trump rather than a genuine threat [1] - The White House confirmed that negotiations between the U.S. and China were not canceled, which contributed to the market's recovery [1] Historical Context - Previous instances indicate that Trump's threats, such as the 100% tariff, are often used as leverage and tend to be unsustainable over time [1] - The last occurrence of a 100% tariff lasted about a month before it was retracted, suggesting a pattern in Trump's negotiation style [1] Economic Indicators - The stability of U.S. Treasury yields and the stock market is closely tied to the ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and China, indicating that both parties' actions are critical for market confidence [1]