FPG财盛国际：黄金突然疯狂爆发的原因在这！接下来如何交易？

Group 1 - Safe-haven funds are flowing into the precious metals market, triggered by President Trump's announcement of a 100% tariff on Chinese imports and export controls on key software starting November 1 [1] - Traders expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in both October and December, with a 97% probability for October and a 100% probability for December according to CME's FedWatch tool [1] - Structural support for the gold market is provided by stable central bank buying, ETF inflows, U.S.-China trade tensions, and expectations of Fed rate cuts [1] Group 2 - The technical outlook for gold remains bullish, with the potential for prices to test $4,150 and $4,200 per ounce if the daily closing price stays above $4,100 [2] - Momentum indicators suggest a strong bullish trend, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 70, indicating strong buying pressure, although an RSI above 80 may signal overextension [3] - If gold prices close below $4,100, they may enter a trading range between previous historical highs of $4,059 and $4,110 [3] Group 3 - Current resistance levels for gold are at $4,150, $4,160, and $4,177, while support levels are at $4,130, $4,112, and $4,096 [4] - The momentum is strong, with a quantitative cycle greater than three years and a reference value of at least 67.1% [4] Group 4 - Key economic indicators to watch include Germany's September CPI, ZEW economic sentiment indices for Germany and the Eurozone, and the NFIB small business confidence index in the U.S. [5]