Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-10-14 02:09Core Insights - The food and beverage index underperformed the broader market in September, with all sub-sectors in a phase of adjustment. The focus for October will be on Q3 earnings reports, with attention on high-performing stocks and sectors [1] Group 1: Industry Performance - In September, the food and beverage industry index declined by 4.9%, underperforming the Wind All A index by 5.7%, ranking 27th among 31 sub-industries [3] - All ten sub-sector indices experienced a pullback, with meat products, soft drinks, pre-processed foods, and beer showing relatively smaller declines of -0.3%, -1.4%, -1.8%, and -3.5% respectively [3] Group 2: Alcohol Sector Insights - During the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, the overall sales of liquor declined by 20%-30%, with variations across scenes, regions, and brands. Business banquet demand remains weak, while mass consumption and gatherings are relatively stable [1] - In terms of brand performance, top liquor brands are seeing a recovery in demand, with Kweichow Moutai's sales volume doubling month-on-month and increasing over 20% year-on-year since September [1] Group 3: Supply Chain and Consumer Trends - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments have introduced policies to boost service consumption, which is expected to enhance consumer confidence [1] - Travel during the National Day holiday showed steady growth, with approximately 2.432 billion people moving across regions from October 1 to 8, averaging 304 million daily, a year-on-year increase of 6.2% [1] Group 4: Pricing and Cost Trends - In September, the wholesale prices of various liquors faced downward pressure, with notable declines in prices compared to the previous month and year [2] - The prices of packaging materials showed mixed trends, with PET and packaging film prices down by 7.1% and 4.8% year-on-year, while aluminum, glass, and cardboard prices increased by 3.2%, 2.6%, and 8.0% respectively [2] - Raw material costs for sugar, flour, quail eggs, and pork decreased significantly year-on-year, while prices for soybeans, palm oil, and sunflower seeds saw slight increases [2]