2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-10-14 23:13Core Viewpoint - China's export control on lithium batteries and key materials is set to take effect on November 8, 2025, targeting products with energy density ≥300Wh/kg, which includes critical production technologies and materials [1] Group 1: Export Control Announcement - The Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs announced the export control measures, emphasizing the dual-use nature of the targeted items and aligning with international practices to safeguard national security [1] - The measures are not aimed at any specific country or region, and legitimate export applications will be reviewed and potentially approved [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - On October 10, several listed companies in the lithium battery sector experienced significant stock declines, with CATL down 6.82%, EVE Energy down 10.96%, and other second-tier leaders dropping over 8% [2] - The Shenwan Battery Index fell for three consecutive trading days, closing down over 4% on October 14 [2] Group 3: Company Responses - Companies like Siengda Intelligent stated that the policy's impact on their overall business is minimal, as their overseas orders primarily come from domestic battery manufacturers, which are not subject to the export control [3] - Li Yuanheng, a lithium battery equipment supplier, mentioned that they have established a robust R&D and manufacturing base overseas to mitigate potential trade policy changes [3] - Rongbai Technology held an investor communication meeting, clarifying that the export policy is a control rather than a ban, and it mainly affects products related to semi-solid and solid-state batteries [4] Group 4: Industry Insights - The lithium battery industry in China has developed a vast capacity and complete supply chain, with a projected total production of 1170GWh in 2024, representing a 24% year-on-year increase [5] - China supplies approximately 90% of the global lithium battery market, with domestic sales of power and other batteries reaching 920.7GWh in the first eight months of the year, including 173.1GWh in exports, a 48.5% increase year-on-year [6] - The recent export control is seen as a shift in the lithium battery competition from capacity to high-end technology, potentially reshaping the global industry landscape [7]