金十数据全球财经早餐 | 2025年10月15日

Group 1 - Federal Reserve Chair Powell indicated that the process of balance sheet reduction may be nearing its end, with rising risks in the job market [9] - The International Energy Agency (IEA) warned of a record oversupply in the oil market next year, predicting a significant surplus in global oil supply by 2026 [3][11] - The IMF has raised its global growth forecast for 2025, citing potential impacts from the ongoing trade war initiated by former President Trump [11] Group 2 - The U.S. dollar index closed at 99.056, down 0.21%, while the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond reached 4.033% [3][6] - Spot gold hit a record high of $4180 per ounce before a sharp decline, ultimately closing at $4142.15, marking a 0.77% increase [3][6] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 1.73%, with significant declines in the semiconductor sector, where stocks like Hua Hong Semiconductor dropped over 13% [4][5]