Gold Market - Gold experienced a sharp decline after reaching a new high of $4180, with a maximum pullback of nearly $90, but ultimately closed up 0.77% [2] - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the central bank is likely to continue interest rate cuts this month due to a weakening job market, despite ongoing concerns about persistent inflation [2] - Analyst Peng Cheng from Bailihau believes that the U.S. government shutdown will impact the economy, prompting the Fed to accelerate rate cuts to prevent systemic risks, potentially ending the balance sheet reduction [2] - Technically, gold's daily chart shows a small bullish candle with a long upper shadow, indicating that while bulls are in control, divergences are emerging [2] Oil Market - Oil prices continued to decline slightly, but the rate of decline has slowed, suggesting a potential short-term rebound, although the long-term outlook remains pessimistic [4] - Year-to-date, Brent crude futures have dropped over 15%, while WTI crude futures have fallen over 16%, indicating a supply glut with limited demand growth [4] - OPEC+ has agreed to a slight increase in oil production in November, adding 137,000 barrels per day, which will gradually reverse the 1.65 million barrels per day cut agreed upon in April 2023 [4] - The global oil market is expected to face significant oversupply until excess capacity is absorbed, making it unlikely to achieve balance in the short term [4] Copper Market - Copper's daily chart shows a large bearish candle, forming a bearish engulfing pattern, with a high probability of continued decline [6] - The price has broken below long-term moving averages, indicating a bearish trend, with short-term resistance around the $5 level [6] Nikkei 225 Index - The Nikkei 225 index has shown consecutive small bullish candles, likely adjusting from previous large bearish movements [7] - The 4-hour chart indicates a double top retest, suggesting a high probability of continued decline, with resistance around the 47350 level [7]
百利好早盘分析：短线虚晃一枪 黄金还是要涨
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-10-15 01:45